The rise and fall of buy now pay later and residual opportunities for banks.
Over two centuries ago, if you were searching for a glamorous wooden desk, you could have visited one of the oldest furniture stores in the US, the renowned store “Cowperthwait & Sons” and got yourself a deal by paying through instalments. This very concept has been rebranded time in time out and even after more than two centuries it is at the heart of the rapidly growing FinTech payments world. The concept was originally coined Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL 1.0) and has been ever evolving until more recently where merchants have become so flexible in their payments plans that in the future they might want to rename it to “Buy Now Pay Anything Later (BNPAL 2.0)”. This blog will discuss the rise and fall of traditional BNPL and the residual opportunity that presents itself to banks.
BNPL and its rise and fall
BNPL can be considered as an interest-free form of credit and first caught the attention of consumers as an online shopping option, but its presence in direct payments is growing. It was originally pioneered by FinTechs and other digital players, such as Klarna, Affirm, Afterpay and Clearpay, but in varying form continues to see new entrants from both disrupters and established banks. Demand for BNPL has grown rapidly and providers have been quick to introduce new services so as not to miss the trend.
The last few years have seen the largest BNPL FinTech start-ups propel to unicorn status, and with the cost-of-living crisis dominating the headlines, the appeal of BNPL may be greater than ever. But with hugely fluctuating valuations and public opinion how many of them have created a lasting strategy?
In the last 12 months we have seen the likes of Klarna being devalued to $6.7 billion from a height of c$46 billion[1], which can be attributable to a rising rate environment and a growing risk-off sentiment globally, both of which put downward pressure on valuations in the technology sector. Earlier this year Forbes reported that Affirm’s BNPL model was suffering due to funding costs rising, causing its stock price to fall by 93%[2]. The other major BNPL FinTech’s have also suffered similar headwinds with some abandoning the UK market to concentrate on other nations because of a surge of past-due payments and a lack of profitability. In addition to this, deep-pocketed Silicon Valley rivals such as Apple have also moved into the BNPL market with products like Apple Pay Later[3], therefore creating a greater level of competition.
What is the residual opportunity for banks?
While most of the early BNPL players were FinTechs and other digital players, we see a great opportunity for banks to expand into this form of payment through both consumer and corporate credit cards as well as short-term unsecured lending. Many banks are exploring these opportunities, despite having previously distanced themselves from BNPL in its original form.
BNPL can bring clear benefits to the wider public, providing an alternative and cheap method of credit, with many advantages over alternative lending options, such as credit cards with vastly preferable credit rates and less impact on individual credit checks. As such millions of people in the UK already use BNPL to split or delay payments, but while this can be a useful payment method for some, the customer journey often lacks the necessary care, information and affordability checks to stop people falling into debt[4], especially as BNPL isn’t sufficiently regulated[5].
Banks are therefore in a unique position as they have a better understanding of a customer’s financial situation (and therefore affordability and associated risk of default) and can use this knowledge, alongside compliance procedures with existing lending regulations to help BNPL become a great benefit to both consumers and banks themselves. Alongside banking processes, BNPL consumers also need to satisfy themselves that they can afford additional debt and be able to pay on time and avoid incurring additional charges.
Banks can help their customers navigate these considerations alongside wider debt commitments with proactive advice, as well as providing customers with a consolidated overview of their BNPL debt and other debt within their banking app and / or monthly bank statements. A bank that can support its customers, particularly during challenging economic times have a better chance of building trust and earning longer-term loyalty. Banks also have the flexibility to cater for risk appetite through managing both sides of the BNPL model, i.e., credit risks arising from an issuer side as well as from acquirer’s perspective for merchants, therefore providing a level of service that other BNPL providers simply cannot match. Banks’ ability to support a BNPL product, to the benefit of its customers will always centre on managing the reputational risk and regulatory risk.
Banks also need to consider the impact of BNPL services on their broader ethical financial strategies. Do they put in place appropriate limits to protect both customers and merchants? Do they contribute to an ethical marketplace? Focusing only on short-term profits can jeopardise a bank’s reputation, while banks that focus on sustainable business models for BNPL will benefit in the long-term.
Final thoughts
In summary, BNPL is an important and growing element of the payments industry. It delivers compelling benefits to consumers by expanding the payment options for low-income customers, while saving money by helping reduce the need to pay excessive credit fees.
There is significant value and ethical contribution in the BNPL proposition if delivered correctly – provided banks focus on the affordability and suitability of the product to their customers. The handling of customer data and the potential to undermine the effectiveness of lending controls will lead to increased pressure from government regulators, therefore best practice processes and frameworks will be key.
Despite the financial challenges, the BNPL market has a valuable contribution to make to broader consumer credit, with continued growth rates anticipated to continue. The product has suffered from emotive market commentary but if done properly and with due focus on the customer, it will be here to stay.
[1] Klarna valuation plunges 85% as ‘buy now, pay later’ hype fades (cnbc.com)
[2] Stock Down 93%, Affirm’s BNPL Model Suffers As Funding Costs Rise (forbes.com)
[3] Klarna sees its value slashed by 85% in latest round of fundraising | Buy now, pay later | The Guardian
[4] Buy now, pay later: what happens if you can’t pay later? – Citizens Advice
[5] UK Treasury Closes BNPL Regulations Consultation | PYMNTS.com
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About the author
Zeeshan has over 20 years’ experience in the financial services sector, having worked for a variety of large, global banks. At Be UK, he is the BNPL lead and a Business Transformation Manager. He supports Be UK’s clients by looking after their business and digital transformation, compliance, training, and competence needs and keeping them up to date with regulatory changes.
